Why Mitt

President Barack Obama has a tough one-hundred-forty-seven days ahead of him. The 2012 Presidential Election is turning into a 50-50 race like 2004 and 2000, among many others. Obama or Governor Mitt Romney will be lucky to break 50% in the popular vote. Squeaking by with 270 or just a few more Electoral Votes will confirm the closeness of this race. The Republican Party probably speaks with confidence now that victory seems more and more likely. Mitt's the one!

Mitt became the one not because he is a political genius, well maybe he was to be the 2012 Republican Party Presidential Nominee. I'm sure that's it's official name. But Mitt isn't the party's A-game. Mitt took the next-in-line concept and was...next-in-line. Just like John McCain was in 2008, George W. Bush in 2000, Bob Dole in 1996, and the list goes on. But he sort of got it by default. He was almost an understudy for the actual next-in-liner.

The time it takes a presidential candidate to seriously run for the nomination, he or she must begin as soon as Election Day is over. By the end of the mid-term elections, the candidate must be in-it-to-win-it. When the 2008 election ended, Obama the victory and the GOP on the losing side, the nomination for the 2012 election didn't have a next-in-liner like previous elections which had candidates waiting like a ride at Disneyland. The 2008 election cycle produced possible contenders; Romney the second place finisher in the primaries and Governor Sarah Palin, the second place finisher in the Electoral College for the vice presidency.

The A-game of the GOP like Mitch Daniels and Haley Barbour stayed out of the 2012 election because they didn't want to face a popular incumbent like Obama. Even with the economic troubles he faces Obama has a chance of winning reelection...even at 50-50. Obama's misfortune is Romney's gain, so the A-game might be rethinking their decision. Other A-gamers like Chris Christie didn't enter the race even at the halfway point of Obama's first term.

So not facing Obama in the general was one factor, and another factor in the A-game vying for the GOP nomination would be to face the Republican Party star Sarah Palin. After losing in the 2008 General Election, Palin became the party's frontrunner for the nomination. She had political capital after her national introduction at the Republican Party Convention in Saint Paul. She's a good politician. I don't mean she's one that writes legislation and works across party lines, but as a politician that can rally people for a cause. But she's not a traditional politician that plays by established customs. It didn't look like she was a serious contender for the 2012 nomination. All the other wanna-be-nominees waited for Palin's decision while still massing their armies for the primary-caucus battles. In the end she chose not to run for the nomination, disappointing her following and allowing the other candidates to try and win her over...as well as her following.

With Palin out of the way and the A-gamers not wanting to challenge a popular incumbent no matter the problems, the next-in-line would be Mitt Romney. As he would mention in the (2011-)2012 primary-caucus debates/forums, he wasn't a politician. But that was by the voters decision. He lost the 1994 Senate race against Ted Kennedy and used that failed election, as well as his business background, as a campaign for Massachusetts Governor...WHICH he won. But instead of allowing the voters to decide if he should continue being governor, Romney chose not to run for a second term. Instead he went after the 2008 Republican nomination and came in second to McCain. Instead of being rewarded with the second spot on the ticket, that went to Palin, he went to being considered as a fronter-runner for 2012.

While others with more experience, knowledge, education sat out because of fear of challenging two popular political figures allowed a non-"politician" out politician the politicians and Sarah Palin. Wait I don't think she's a practicing politician anymore. She's simply a political commentator...or agitator. But yeah...GO MITT! You did it. You got the party's nomination and if by some chance you connect with those few individuals that decide this election I hope you don't run for reelection. But once again...I don't think we'll have a referendum on a Romney Administration.

The Non-Cleveland Qualifications to be President

There are only 3 qualifications to be President of the United States, being a natural born citizen, 14 years residency, and 35 years old.

As long as these qualifications are met, then there should be no reason why one individual couldn't run for the highest office in the land. In the 2008 Democratic primary race, then-Senator Hillary Clinton of New York touted her experience (which is real, genuine, and legit), verse then-Senator Barack Obama of Illinois' lack of experience (which was just at the federal level of politics...or just ageism). Experience was the theme of the Hillary Clinton campaign in the first half of the primary before evolving to an experienced politician for the working class American.

Senator Clinton's experience then in 2008, qualified her to be president. Her resume included a college graduate, law school graduate, First Lady of Arkansas, First Lady of the United States and senator from New York, and now she can include Secretary of State, an old stepping stone to the presidency. Let's just say, she's gone up in value since '08.

In that primary race her argument that then-Senator Obama wasn't experienced enough never stuck and the reason is because he met the qualifications to hold the office just as men before him with a small policial resume, like Abraham Lincoln, Theodore Roosevelt, and John F. Kennedy.

While experience is not a qualifier to be POTUS, then-Senator Clinton's resume probably came the closest to having the chops for the job without having been president. She was married to the president so she has some first hand experience seeing what the office holder must go through. There has only been one person ready for the job of the presidency before winning on election day and that's Grover Cleveland...only because he had been elected president 8 years before resuming the office.

In 1992, then-Governor Bill Clinton of Arkansas just had five terms as governor under his electoral belt before running. His main opponent, President George H. W. Bush had an even bigger resume plus as the commander-in-chief during a time of war. In 1996, Senator Bob Dole of Kansas had racked up years of political service in Congress and even as a vice-presidential candidate on a national ticket. In 2000, Vice President Al Gore's resume led him to the nomination as the sitting v-p, just like Bush, while his opponent, Bush's son George W. Bush, got the electoral weight from one full term as governor of a large state, Texas, and an election to a second term. John Kerry used his military service in Vietnam and political service in the senate as building blocks to his candidacy and then-President Bush 43 used his first term on top of all his experience for reelection. So really there is no clear cut mold for a person to fit to become a nominee. Obama used his brief federal experience, and State-level experience, and everything that made him unique to help him win the nomination, just as his opponent Senator John McCain used to prove to the electorate that he too was qualified to be president. In 2012, Obama is using his first term and Mitt Romney (assuming he is the nominee) will use his one term as governor and business career (he'd be using his political career had he won the senator race against Ted Kennedy in 1994) to be president. So why in 2008, didn't Sarah Palin's unique resume make her qualified for the bottom of the ticket?

Her lack of intellectual curiosity was made clear in her interview with Katie Couric and then later with Charlie Gibson and it was nobody's fault but her own...and probably the McCain camp's vetting team. Palin's resume is a political dream come true and only if she had intelligence to back up her short political resume, she would be a political super-star just like Obama, Reagan, Bush 43 (pre-2006), and both Clintons. She can muster a following, but if there was only substance to back it up would her following become more powerful in putting her into a position of power.

There are only 3 qualifications to be POTUS and they are clearly stated in the Constitution. Individuals like Obama and Palin have vied for it and have had to prove themselves beyond the qualifiers mentioned in one of our founding documents. You don't have to be a life long politician to be president but you have to show some knowledge of current events...just like students in a social studies class. Or if you're lucky, you can run for a non-consecutive term like Cleveland...but that's difficult in this 22nd Amendent era we live in.

Electing the Vice President...2

The first Vice President of the United States (VPOTUS) wasn't sharing a ticket with the first President of the United States (POTUS), George Washington, but the second choice for president in the group of white men able and nominated for the job. The men that placed second in the presidential race became the vice president...this occurred between 1789 and the election of 1800.

During that election an attempt at a ticket was made (i.e. Thomas Jefferson/Aaron Burr and John Adams/Charles Pinckney) but without clarifying which candidate was running for which office. The Jefferson/Burr "ticket" tied. Jefferson and Burr had the same number of votes, but not saying who was president and who was vice president. The Constitution said in 1800, that the person, white male, with the second most votes will be the vice president, and if there is no clear majority the two individuals with the top votes will be voted on in the Senate. In 1800 there was an electoral tie. The House didn't want Burr, so Jefferson won the presidency after 36 ballots and Burr became the vice president. This confusion created the system that exists today. The electors would place votes for president and vice president separately. The 12th Amendment took effect in 1804, just in time for the November presidential election, a presidential ticket wins a State, the electors place one vote for president and one vote for vice president. These electors do not have to be faithful, meaning they can cast a vote however they want. Joe Biden for president and Barack Obama for vice president! The last time a faithless elector didn't follow the popular vote of their home State was in '04 when a Democratic elector voted John Edwards for POTUS and John Kerry for VPOTUS. The 12th Amendment really changed the vice presidency, before the amendment the 3 vice presidents of the United States were two future presidents, Adams and Jefferson, and a potential western empire founding father, aka Burr. Since then they have been ticket-balancing both geographically and ideologically, but all white males, of course.

The first 100 years of the post-12th Amendment vice presidents gave us the first to resign and near rebellious John C. Calhou and Martin Van Buren, the first since the amendment's passage to be elected POTUS as an incumbent v-p. Both served President Andrew Jackson as VPOTUS. But there was also Andrew Johnson, the ultimate balancing act for a ticket with Abraham Lincoln on the Union Party ticket in 1864...keeping the North and South together politically. Theodore Roosevelt, the political super-star ends the first 100 years under the Amendment. Both Johnson 17 and Roosevelt 26 became presidents, like Van Buren, but only one of these former vice presidents turned presidents won four more years.

Richard Nixon helped the vice presidency become less of a joke with his tenure. I'm sure he was the butt of the joke plenty of times as vice president...it's part of the job. President Dwight D. Eisenhower (Ike) couldn't think of an important idea Vice President Nixon contributed to the administration during the 1960 election or as he put it: "If you give me a week, I might think of one." But by Walter Mondale's vice presidency in 1977 the office had entered modernity and a home to call its own. In 1988, the incumbent VPOTUS, George Bush, was elected POTUS, something not achieved since 1836 with Van Buren. The next opportunity for a sitting VPOTUS to run was in 2000 and he got the majority of the popular votes...but not the electoral votes. Vice President Al Gore, in 2000, was the most powerful vice president in history. His successor's power would eclipse his.

In 2000 when Texas Governor George W. Bush asked his father's former Secretary of Defense, Richard B. Cheney to head a committee to find the best candidate for the bottom of the ticket. Cheney reported back to Bush (would-be-43) that he, Cheney, was the best to be the v-p. And as the 2000 election goes, Bush/Cheney won the electoral votes of Florida and thus the presidency.

In the 2004 Democratic primary the first place winner, John Kerry, selected the man with the second most votes, John Edwards. Sound constitutional logic found in our own founding documents. But that ticket "lost"...Ohio is another story. 2008 provided the first non-incumbency since 1952 (President Harry Truman dropped out during the early primaries) and 1928 (future President Herbert Hoover was a member of President Calvin Coolidge's cabinet as secretary of commerce). Since Cheney wasn't running, both parties were trying to figure ou the top spot on the '08 tickets. The bottom ones come later.

On the Democratic side two individuals fought for the top of the ticket and voters dream of the second place finisher on the bottom. But it wasn't going to happen. Tradition of the president choosing his v-p trumped the obvious voter desire. But all is well with a President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. But that dream ticket of the '08 Democratic primary season is still a dream in 2012. But it's fading as Vice President punches up his campaigning duties.

The Republicans in 2008 got to break ground with the party's first female on the ticket: Sarah Palin of Alaska.

Presidential candidates, non-incumbents, make their first presidential decision when they choose their vice presidential candidate. The reason it's a big decision is because this man or woman might be the president if something happens to the president. Palin shouldn't have been chosen. Hillary should not have been passed over (understandable from her perspective), and Cheney obviously gave himself too much power way before the GOP nominating convention in 2000.

Let the voters have a say in their choice for leadership. If a pre-12th Amendment primary election system is developed those that want a voice can be heard with their candidate and that candidate can be fighting for the top spot on the ticket and lose but become THE person to fill the spot on the bottom of the ticket because the people say so.

Madame Vice President

In 1984, Geraldine Ferraro of New York was the first female on a national ticket. 64 years after gaining the right to vote, a female was on the ticket for the vice presidency. She lost. That presidential ticket lost, to quote a vice president...big time.

There wouldn't be a female on the ticket again until 2008. The Democrats never opined the idea again after 1984, with the exception of the brief flirtation with a female at the top of ticket during the heated 2008 Democratic Party Primary when it was clear Senator Hillary Clinton, of New York by the way, was not going to be the presidential nominee. It took the Grand Old Party 152 years, but they broke the white-males-only ticket streak, with the selection, by Senator John McCain of Arizona, of Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska.

Once again the ticket with the female on it did not win. Women voters voted for the ticket without the female on it both in 1984 and 2008. If McCain had his way he'd have former-Democratic-but-still-siding-with-said-party-now-Independent Joe Lieberman. But in 2008 that would not happen. Clinton's major defeat during the primaries, which came with "18 million" or 48% of the primary vote a few hundred thousand more than the man that won the nomination. Her near victory was a great way to attract voters (i.e. woman voters) that were hoping for a female on the ticket. So selecting the young (opposite of McCain), attractive (same as before), and executive branch experienced (about as much "experience" as then-Senator Barack Obama). Choosing Palin, McCain went with the way to get votes and not the person that would work best with him to governor if he won. No offense to the other female politicians or non-politicians in the GOP circa 2008. Remember Alaska doesn't bring the Electoral votes. It's already in the GOP column.

The third time can happen in 2012...and with the GOP too. Recently the GOP has had difficulties with women, just like a Star Trek fan at any age. The GOP can save themselves with the women vote by putting a female on the ticket. They of course have to go with the opposite of Palin. The woman does not have to be old, unattractive, that would be an insult to the would be candidate. But the party can find a vp candidate in the governor mansions, Congress, in the judiciary, and the non-political world. They just need to be opposite of Mitt Romney ideologically...whatever that is or the election he's running in. So the general election by the time it's important.

Now while the GOP have the opportunity to put a female on the ticket and a political reason, the Democrats have probably until the end of August/start of September to nominate their candidates. If the GOP put a female on the ticket and the benefit, there's nothing stopping the Democrats from doing the same. Vice President Joe Biden will be 73 in 2016, the same age President Ronald Reagan was when he ran for reelection in 1984...the election Ferraro lost as vp. Biden will be 74 a few weeks after the election in 2016. Not really presidential age. The loyal and foreign-policy-minded Biden could be persuaded to step down from the ticket with a new post at the head of the State Department, Hillary Clinton's current job. The dream ticket of 2008, thought of during the heat of the primary battle, can be a reality in 2012. If it happens, 2012 and the third time a female is on the ticket (2nd time for both parties) could be the charm.